What Really Happened in the Midterms and Why
By every account, this was a strange election. Having had some time to think about it, I have determined the best explanation for November 8 is that this midterm election was intended to turn out pretty much the way it did.
Who intended it? The Republican establishment. Why? To get rid of Trump...
This was a midterm election, so there are no real consequences beyond the control of Congress. This means that if you can control one house, even by a slim margin, you can stall the agenda of the other side. How large a majority you have is secondary and, in the long view, not that meaningful....
It makes sense. The Democrats funded the Trump senatorial candidates in the primaries because they thought they could make them lose. The Republicans seemed to think that might be a good idea. If necessary, they could help those candidates lose, which could seriously weaken Trump but still leave them with sufficient winners....
The Dem-supported Trump candidates lost, as per their plan....
The Republicans, admittedly dreadfully incompetent at messaging, outdid their own previous failures in this election - on purpose. National ads acknowledging the accomplishments of Trump on the economy, immigration, inflation, crime, or any of the other major issues on the table for this election were nonexistent....
There were several House races with obvious "Biden bumps" in the vote tracking. A Biden bump is a sudden, straight-line, vertical rise in the normal arcing pattern of vote count over a number of hours. The Biden bump was clearly demonstrated on Election Night 2016 in several states, and it was clear last Tuesday. Check that out here.
Republicans are making no noise about this at all....
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