A Tidal Wave of Refugees Is Coming
According to the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees, 68 million people around the world are or at risk of becoming refugees. The migration of a few million people has already turned the European Union inside out and motivated the election of an America-first presidency. What we have seen so far, though, is nothing compared to what is to come.
Fertility is declining in almost all the educated and prosperous parts of the world, notably including East Asia. But it remains extremely high in the least-educated parts of the world....
At constant fertility, the number of people aged 20 to 30 years will grow from 1.2 billion to almost 4 billion over the present century, and all of the growth will occur in Africa and South Asia (notably in Pakistan, where total fertility is 3.6 children per woman vs. 2.4 in India). Africa will be the main source of new young people....
Writing in The New Republic, Laura Markham reports that a trickle of "extra-continental refugees" is infiltrating the United States via Brazil, and that this trickle is likely to turn into a flood....
From Brazil the migrant stream works its way through the jungles of Panama to Central America, and through Mexico to the United States....
Africa can't absorb its rapidly growing population....
The problems of sub-Saharan Africa (as well as Pakistan and other troubled countries) are physically too large for the West to remedy: The sheer numbers of people in distress soon will exceed the total population of the industrial world....
The mass of human misery headed towards the industrial countries simply is too great for us to bear. It is hard to see how humanitarian catastrophes of biblical proportions can be avoided. The responsibility of an American president is to make sure that they don't happen to us.
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This Route Doesn't Exist On The Map, by Lauren Markham, The New Republic, February 26, 2018:
... Today, more than 65 million people around the world have been forced from their homes—a higher number than ever recorded, as people flee war, political upheaval, extreme poverty, natural disasters, and the impacts of climate change. Since 2014, nearly 2 million migrants have crossed into Europe by sea, typically landing in Italy or Greece. They hail from dozens of countries, but most are from Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, and Nigeria—countries struggling with war, political repression, climate change, and endemic poverty.
Their passage to supposed safety, which takes them across Libya and the Sinai, as well as the Mediterranean, has become increasingly perilous....
The route northward from Brazil to the United States is a new one....
“Mexico is not just a country of migrant departure and transit,” explained Diego Lorente, director of the Fray Matías de Córdova Human Rights Center in Tapachula. “Increasingly, it is a destination.”...
The Trump administration’s efforts to crack down on immigration have made that already bad situation significantly worse. In the first seven months of Trump’s presidency, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement arrested nearly 100,000 people suspected of being in the country illegally—a 43 percent increase over the previous year. Currently, an average of 38,000 people are housed each day in U.S. detention centers, and the Trump administration, which plans to build more immigration jails around the country, expects that number to increase to 48,000....
CAIRCO Research
America's Population Is being driven to double because of mass immigration